if everything else were equal, greenhouse gas concentrations in 2030 would need to be roughly the same as they are today.Now admittedly young George is coat trailing to sell his book but that doesn't change the research. We urgently need to be calling for simplicity of lifestyle and localism to reduce fossil carbon use. It's a matter of loving our neighbours folks.
Unfortunately, everything else is not equal. By 2030, according to a paper published by scientists at the Met Office, the total capacity of the biosphere to absorb carbon will have reduced from the current 4 billion tonnes a year to 2.7 billion(8). To maintain equilibrium at that point, in other words, the world’s population can emit no more than 2.7 billion tonnes of carbon a year in 2030. As we currently produce around 7 billion, this implies a global reduction of 60%. In 2030, the world’s people are likely to number around 8.2 billion. By dividing the total carbon sink (2.7 billion tonnes) by the number of people, we find that to achieve stabilisation the weight of carbon emissions per person should be no greater than 0.33 tonnes. If this problem is to be handled fairly, everyone should have the same entitlement to release carbon, at a rate no greater than 0.33 tonnes per year.
It's worth, too, looking at his related article almost but not quite celebrating the terminal decline of climate change denialism, 'not quite' because
The danger is not that we will stop talking about climate change, or recognising that it presents an existential threat to humankind. The danger is that we will talk ourselves to Kingdom Come.
I think he may be right...
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