30 September 2006

The carbon task ahead

It's probably worth noting and marking this article for future reference so that we can have on hand a strongly expressed but well-researched article telling us how much is to be done to save the planet for civilisation as we would like to know it.
if everything else were equal, greenhouse gas concentrations in 2030 would need to be roughly the same as they are today.
Unfortunately, everything else is not equal. By 2030, according to a paper published by scientists at the Met Office, the total capacity of the biosphere to absorb carbon will have reduced from the current 4 billion tonnes a year to 2.7 billion(8). To maintain equilibrium at that point, in other words, the world’s population can emit no more than 2.7 billion tonnes of carbon a year in 2030. As we currently produce around 7 billion, this implies a global reduction of 60%. In 2030, the world’s people are likely to number around 8.2 billion. By dividing the total carbon sink (2.7 billion tonnes) by the number of people, we find that to achieve stabilisation the weight of carbon emissions per person should be no greater than 0.33 tonnes. If this problem is to be handled fairly, everyone should have the same entitlement to release carbon, at a rate no greater than 0.33 tonnes per year.
Now admittedly young George is coat trailing to sell his book but that doesn't change the research. We urgently need to be calling for simplicity of lifestyle and localism to reduce fossil carbon use. It's a matter of loving our neighbours folks.
It's worth, too, looking at his related article almost but not quite celebrating the terminal decline of climate change denialism, 'not quite' because
The danger is not that we will stop talking about climate change, or recognising that it presents an existential threat to humankind. The danger is that we will talk ourselves to Kingdom Come.

I think he may be right...

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"Spend and tax" not "tax and spend"

 I got a response from my MP which got me kind of mad. You'll see why as I reproduce it here. Apologies for the strange changes in types...